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題名 資訊不對稱下,國家風險與產業環境對子公司併購下市之市場反應影響
If factors related to country risk and industrial characteristics would have impact on the announcement effect of going private under information asymmetry: from the point of signaling theory.作者 馮書儀
Fong, Shu-Yi貢獻者 吳啟銘
Wu, Chi-Ming
馮書儀
Fong, Shu-Yi關鍵詞 併購
併購下市
國家風險
產業環境
訊號發射
merger and acquisition
going private
country risk
industry
signaling日期 2019 上傳時間 7-Aug-2019 16:03:46 (UTC+8) 摘要 本研究以子公司併購下市為題,以過去併購下市理論為基礎,再加入訊號發射理論解釋子公司所處國家與產業環境,會如何影響併購下市的市場反應,並討論國家與產業因素將如何與過去併購下市理論中的價值低估因子及交易成本因子產生交互作用。結果顯示產業環境與國家風險個別的負面訊號效果並不明顯,推測可能是外部環境對市場反應的影響較為薄弱,然而與一般非併購下市案件相較之下,產業環境仍然具備較強負面訊號效果;然而對產業環境、國家風險與價值低估、交易成本因子檢驗交互作用,則能支持研究假說,即產業環境與國家風險因子的負面訊號效果,會加強公司價值低估因子的對市場反應的負面影響顯著性,而交易成本因子(即資訊不對稱程度)會加強國家風險的負面訊號效果,但對產業環境的負面訊號加強效果則不顯著。然本研究僅針對併購宣告的市場反應進行探討,並未再結合後續併購下市宣告的市場反應進行探討;且在各組樣本中,子公司所屬國家多為美國,因此可能是國家風險影響性不顯著之原因;此外,本研究對產業僅以科技業與非科技業進行劃分,或許即是導致交易成本因子,對產業環境的負面訊號加強效果不顯著之原因。未來若能加入後續併購下市宣告之市場反應進行研究、放寬對主併的國家篩選限制以取得更平均的子公司國家分布抑或是對產業進行更細緻的劃分的方式,都能對此議題進行更進一步的探討。除了對研究樣本的優化之外,亦可由子公司併購下市後的借款利率變化著手,驗證國家風險與產業環境對子公司的併購下市訊號影響,是否真的會在下市後產生實質的影響,或是驗證市場對訊號的解讀,是否真的能準確反映子公司併購下市的真實情況,未來若有志在此領域進行進一步的研究,此為另一可以努力的方向。
Based on the research discussing the motivation for company to go private, we tried to examine if factors related to country risk and industrial characteristics would have impact on the announcement effect of going private from the point of signaling theory. Furthermore, we also want to explore if the negative signal caused by companies in countries with low risk and high-tech environment would have joint effect with factors of undervaluation and transaction cost.We found the country risk and industrial characteristics would have insignificant impact on the announcement effect. However, comparing with the non-going private cases, the negative signal caused by companies in high-tech industries is still stronger in the group going private. The negative correlation between the factor of undervaluation and announcement effect would be strengthened if the subsidiaries (targets) are registered in the country with low risk and high-tech industry; the negative correlation between the factor of transaction cost and the announcement effect would be strengthened if the subsidiaries (targets) are in the country with low risk, because of the signal effect strengthened by the high level of information asymmetry, but the characteristic of companies in high-tech industry has the insignificant impact on the negative correlation between the factor of transaction cost and the announcement effect.In the future, categorizing industries into more types, widening the constraint of acquirers‟ countries on collecting the sample or doing a research form the view of the borrowing interest rate subsidiaries would have after going private to examine whether the signals could forecast the real situation well would be new ways to do in this field.參考文獻 中文部分王祝三, 周德瑋, & 陳弘榮. 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A signaling theory of acquisition premiums: Evidence from IPO targets. Academy of Management Journal, 55(3), 667-683.Ross, S. A. (1977). The determination of financial structure: the incentive-signalling approach. The bell journal of economics, 23-40.Shefrin, H. (2002). Beyond greed and fear: Understanding behavioral finance and the psychology of investing. Oxford University Press on Demand.Shivdasani, A. (1993). Board composition, ownership structure, and hostile takeovers. Journal of accounting and economics, 16(1-3), 167-198.Simkowitz, M., & Monroe, R. J. (1971). A discriminant analysis function for conglomerate targets. Southern Journal of Business, 6(1), 1-15.Singh, J. V., & Lumsden, C. J. (1990). Theory and research in organizational ecology. Annual review of sociology, 16(1), 161-195.Thies, C. F., & Klock, M. S. (1992). Determinants of capital structure. Review of Financial Economics, 1(2), 40-53.Travlos, N. G. (1987). Corporate takeover bids, methods of payment, and bidding firms` stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 42(4), 943-963. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財務管理學系
106357005資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106357005 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 吳啟銘 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Wu, Chi-Ming en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 馮書儀 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Fong, Shu-Yi en_US dc.creator (作者) 馮書儀 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Fong, Shu-Yi en_US dc.date (日期) 2019 en_US dc.date.accessioned 7-Aug-2019 16:03:46 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 7-Aug-2019 16:03:46 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 7-Aug-2019 16:03:46 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0106357005 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/124694 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 財務管理學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 106357005 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究以子公司併購下市為題,以過去併購下市理論為基礎,再加入訊號發射理論解釋子公司所處國家與產業環境,會如何影響併購下市的市場反應,並討論國家與產業因素將如何與過去併購下市理論中的價值低估因子及交易成本因子產生交互作用。結果顯示產業環境與國家風險個別的負面訊號效果並不明顯,推測可能是外部環境對市場反應的影響較為薄弱,然而與一般非併購下市案件相較之下,產業環境仍然具備較強負面訊號效果;然而對產業環境、國家風險與價值低估、交易成本因子檢驗交互作用,則能支持研究假說,即產業環境與國家風險因子的負面訊號效果,會加強公司價值低估因子的對市場反應的負面影響顯著性,而交易成本因子(即資訊不對稱程度)會加強國家風險的負面訊號效果,但對產業環境的負面訊號加強效果則不顯著。然本研究僅針對併購宣告的市場反應進行探討,並未再結合後續併購下市宣告的市場反應進行探討;且在各組樣本中,子公司所屬國家多為美國,因此可能是國家風險影響性不顯著之原因;此外,本研究對產業僅以科技業與非科技業進行劃分,或許即是導致交易成本因子,對產業環境的負面訊號加強效果不顯著之原因。未來若能加入後續併購下市宣告之市場反應進行研究、放寬對主併的國家篩選限制以取得更平均的子公司國家分布抑或是對產業進行更細緻的劃分的方式,都能對此議題進行更進一步的探討。除了對研究樣本的優化之外,亦可由子公司併購下市後的借款利率變化著手,驗證國家風險與產業環境對子公司的併購下市訊號影響,是否真的會在下市後產生實質的影響,或是驗證市場對訊號的解讀,是否真的能準確反映子公司併購下市的真實情況,未來若有志在此領域進行進一步的研究,此為另一可以努力的方向。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) Based on the research discussing the motivation for company to go private, we tried to examine if factors related to country risk and industrial characteristics would have impact on the announcement effect of going private from the point of signaling theory. Furthermore, we also want to explore if the negative signal caused by companies in countries with low risk and high-tech environment would have joint effect with factors of undervaluation and transaction cost.We found the country risk and industrial characteristics would have insignificant impact on the announcement effect. However, comparing with the non-going private cases, the negative signal caused by companies in high-tech industries is still stronger in the group going private. The negative correlation between the factor of undervaluation and announcement effect would be strengthened if the subsidiaries (targets) are registered in the country with low risk and high-tech industry; the negative correlation between the factor of transaction cost and the announcement effect would be strengthened if the subsidiaries (targets) are in the country with low risk, because of the signal effect strengthened by the high level of information asymmetry, but the characteristic of companies in high-tech industry has the insignificant impact on the negative correlation between the factor of transaction cost and the announcement effect.In the future, categorizing industries into more types, widening the constraint of acquirers‟ countries on collecting the sample or doing a research form the view of the borrowing interest rate subsidiaries would have after going private to examine whether the signals could forecast the real situation well would be new ways to do in this field. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究背景與動機 1第二節 研究目的 3第二章 文獻探討 4第一節 企業併購下市動機相關文獻 4第二節 產業及國家環境對企業融資安排影響相關文獻 7第三節 訊號發射理論相關文獻 9第三章 研究方法 11第一節 理論基礎及研究假說發展 11第二節 研究期間及樣本選取 14第三節 實證模型 15第四節 變數定義及數據來源 18第四章 實證結果 24第一節 敘述性統計 24第二節 相關係數分析 30第三節 迴歸分析 33第五章 結論與建議 39第一節 結論與建議 39第二節 研究貢獻與限制 39參考文獻 41中文部分 41英文部分 43 zh_TW dc.format.extent 879160 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106357005 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 併購 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 併購下市 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 國家風險 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 產業環境 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 訊號發射 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) merger and acquisition en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) going private en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) country risk en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) industry en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) signaling en_US dc.title (題名) 資訊不對稱下,國家風險與產業環境對子公司併購下市之市場反應影響 zh_TW dc.title (題名) If factors related to country risk and industrial characteristics would have impact on the announcement effect of going private under information asymmetry: from the point of signaling theory. en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部分王祝三, 周德瑋, & 陳弘榮. 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