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題名 2010年各國戶口普查制度之研究
An international study of 2010 population census methods
作者 顏貝珊
Yen, Bei Shan
貢獻者 余清祥
顏貝珊
Yen, Bei Shan
關鍵詞 戶口普查
登記式普查
美國社區調查
常住人口
戶籍人口
Population and Housing Census
Registered-Based Census
American Community Survey
Registered Population
Permanent Resident
日期 2009
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 14:52:44 (UTC+8)
摘要 戶口普查的主旨在於瞭解一個國家或地區的人口及其相關特性,國家的政策制訂及人力規劃需仰賴正確的調查結果。但隨著社會變遷等諸多因素,即使增加費用也無法提高普查的完訪率,資料的品質也因民眾配合意願而降低。為提高資料品質與降低調查成本等因素,部份國家積極發展新的普查方法,預計在2010年普查正式實施,取代傳統的戶口普查。
本研究整理新的普查方法,包括登記式普查、登記式普查結合抽樣調查、滾動式普查等方法。其中也包括行政院計畫預計在2010年以登記式普查結合抽樣調查取代傳統的戶口普查,效法新加坡、北歐四國與荷蘭,整合公務登記系統取得普查短表資料,抽樣調查代替國外長表問卷,希冀獲得較為詳細的教育、生育、居家老人照護等社經議題之統計資料。除了整理資料外,本文也將討論2010年台灣的戶口普查,以常住人口為調查目標,可能衍生的問題。
另外,本研究也將整理美國與法國即將採用的調查方法,包括美國社區調查(American Community Survey)的設計與抽樣方法,用於普查以取代長表問卷的可能,並研究抽樣調查蒐集人口的限制,比較普查及調查蒐集資料的優缺點。
The objective of the population and housing census is to collect the demographic information on the population in a nation or an area which will be used as a reference for government planning and policy making. Because of the dramatic change in the social environment, some problems were generated as a result, such as the increase in survey cost, non-response rate, and data demand. Although many countries are still using the Traditional Census method for the 2010 census, some are active in developing new methods to improve the quality of data collected and to decrease the survey cost.

Following the examples of Singapore, Netherland, and the Nordic countries (Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden), the method for conducting the 2010 Taiwan Census will be different, changing from the traditional census to registered-based census with sampling survey. This method will integrate the official registry system to acquire the basic demographic characteristics, and collect more detailed information on the social and economic topics, including the aspects of education, fertility, and elder care by using sampling methods. Consequently, this research will be separated into two parts. The first part will introduce and analyze several common census methods used, including the Traditional Census method, Registered-Based Census, Registered-Based Census with Sampling Survey, and the Rolling Census. In addition, the target population of 2010 Taiwan Census is De Jure population and we shall also discuss its potential problems.

In the second part, the research will further examine the survey methods that will be used for the U.S. and French census, including the design concept and the sampling method executed by the American Community Survey (ACS) to replace the long-form questionnaire for the 2010 U.S. Census. Finally, we will discuss the restrictions of using sampling to collect data, compare the strengths and weaknesses of census and the different sampling methods, as well as analyze the problems related to the registered population and the permanent residents.
參考文獻 中文部分
中華人民共和國香港特別行政區政府統計處(2001)香港二零零一年人口普查主要報告:第二冊。
中華人民共和國香港特別行政區政府統計處(2006)香港二零零六年中期人口統計主要報告:第二冊。
行政院主計處(2004)新加坡的統計制度。
行政院主計處(2007)2010年人口及住宅普查構想與發展之研究。
余清祥、胡玉蕙(1999)從美國經驗探討抽樣在普查之新角色,主計月刊522:60-66。
沈益民(1983)近三十年世界人口普查和人口概況,北京:群眾。
洪永泰(1996)戶籍登記常住人口與非常住人口之差異研究,國科會專題研究報告。
洪永泰(2003)原始樣本、替代樣本、與追蹤樣本的比較:「2001年臺灣選舉與民主化調查研究」訪問失敗問題的探討,選舉研究10(2):37-58。
張善余(2003)中國人口地理,北京:科學。
張新儀、林明珠、洪永泰、林淑慧(2003),臺灣地區「常住人口」與「移動人口」的比較:2001年國民健康訪問調查資料的實證分析,調查研究14:5-29。
許耿修(2003)台灣戶政制度研究,國立成功大學歷史學研究所碩士論文。
陳紹馨(1979)臺灣的人口變遷與社會變遷,台北:聯經。
陳肇男、劉克智(2002)台灣2000 年戶口普查結果的評價:常住人口與戶籍登記口的比較分析,人口學刊25:1-56。
黃于玲、周元暉(2005)荷蘭2001年虛擬普查簡介,中國統計通訊,16(4):2-8。
蔡宏進、廖正宏(1987) 人口學,台北:巨流。
英文部分
Department of Statistics, Singapore(2002), “Singapore Census of Population 2000: Administrative Report”
Hogan, Howard(1993)“The 1990 Post-enumeration Survey: Operation and Results”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol.88, No.423, 1047-1060
National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies (2008), “Data validation in the French Census”
National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies(2004), “The French new rolling census”, UNECE Seminar on New Methods for Population Census
Statistics Netherlands(2004), “The Dutch Virtual Census of 2001: Analysis and Methodology”
UN Census Knowledge Base, http://unstats.un.org/unsd/censuskb/
UN(2007), “Population and Vital Statistics Report”
UN(2008), “Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses”
UNECE(2007),“Register-based statistics in the Nordic countries”
UNECE(2008), “Measuring population and housing :Practices of UNECE countries in the 2000 round of censuses”
U.S. Bureau of the Census(2006). “American Community Survey: Design and Methodology”
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
統計研究所
96354011
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0096354011
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 余清祥zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 顏貝珊zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Yen, Bei Shanen_US
dc.creator (作者) 顏貝珊zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Yen, Bei Shanen_US
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 14:52:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 14:52:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 14:52:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0096354011en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/49598-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 統計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96354011zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 戶口普查的主旨在於瞭解一個國家或地區的人口及其相關特性,國家的政策制訂及人力規劃需仰賴正確的調查結果。但隨著社會變遷等諸多因素,即使增加費用也無法提高普查的完訪率,資料的品質也因民眾配合意願而降低。為提高資料品質與降低調查成本等因素,部份國家積極發展新的普查方法,預計在2010年普查正式實施,取代傳統的戶口普查。
本研究整理新的普查方法,包括登記式普查、登記式普查結合抽樣調查、滾動式普查等方法。其中也包括行政院計畫預計在2010年以登記式普查結合抽樣調查取代傳統的戶口普查,效法新加坡、北歐四國與荷蘭,整合公務登記系統取得普查短表資料,抽樣調查代替國外長表問卷,希冀獲得較為詳細的教育、生育、居家老人照護等社經議題之統計資料。除了整理資料外,本文也將討論2010年台灣的戶口普查,以常住人口為調查目標,可能衍生的問題。
另外,本研究也將整理美國與法國即將採用的調查方法,包括美國社區調查(American Community Survey)的設計與抽樣方法,用於普查以取代長表問卷的可能,並研究抽樣調查蒐集人口的限制,比較普查及調查蒐集資料的優缺點。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The objective of the population and housing census is to collect the demographic information on the population in a nation or an area which will be used as a reference for government planning and policy making. Because of the dramatic change in the social environment, some problems were generated as a result, such as the increase in survey cost, non-response rate, and data demand. Although many countries are still using the Traditional Census method for the 2010 census, some are active in developing new methods to improve the quality of data collected and to decrease the survey cost.

Following the examples of Singapore, Netherland, and the Nordic countries (Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden), the method for conducting the 2010 Taiwan Census will be different, changing from the traditional census to registered-based census with sampling survey. This method will integrate the official registry system to acquire the basic demographic characteristics, and collect more detailed information on the social and economic topics, including the aspects of education, fertility, and elder care by using sampling methods. Consequently, this research will be separated into two parts. The first part will introduce and analyze several common census methods used, including the Traditional Census method, Registered-Based Census, Registered-Based Census with Sampling Survey, and the Rolling Census. In addition, the target population of 2010 Taiwan Census is De Jure population and we shall also discuss its potential problems.

In the second part, the research will further examine the survey methods that will be used for the U.S. and French census, including the design concept and the sampling method executed by the American Community Survey (ACS) to replace the long-form questionnaire for the 2010 U.S. Census. Finally, we will discuss the restrictions of using sampling to collect data, compare the strengths and weaknesses of census and the different sampling methods, as well as analyze the problems related to the registered population and the permanent residents.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第壹章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機 1
第二節 研究目的 7
第貳章 普查方法的起源與演變 9
第一節 普查制度的起源與現況 9
第二節 普查方法的演變 12
第三節 調查方法的種類與優缺點比較 23
第參章 世界各國的普查制度 27
第一節 傳統問卷式普查(香港) 29
第二節 滾動式普查(美國與法國) 37
第三節 登記式普查(北歐四國與荷蘭、新加坡) 49
第四節 台灣的普查制度 63
第五節 各國普查制度的特色與優缺點比較 68
第肆章 歐洲的普查概況:登記式普查的興起與特色 73
第一節 歐洲辦理普查的整體概況 73
第二節 已辦理(或嘗試轉變)登記式普查的國家之特徵 80
第三節 台灣值得學習辦理登記式普查的標竿國家 85
第伍章 台灣普查制度的潛在問題 87
第一節 普查方法的法源依據 87
第二節 戶籍人口與常住人口的差異 89
第陸章 結論與建議 93
第一節 結論 93
第二節 建議 98
參考文獻 103
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2374126 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0096354011en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 戶口普查zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 登記式普查zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美國社區調查zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 常住人口zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 戶籍人口zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Population and Housing Censusen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Registered-Based Censusen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) American Community Surveyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Registered Populationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Permanent Residenten_US
dc.title (題名) 2010年各國戶口普查制度之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) An international study of 2010 population census methodsen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華人民共和國香港特別行政區政府統計處(2001)香港二零零一年人口普查主要報告:第二冊。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華人民共和國香港特別行政區政府統計處(2006)香港二零零六年中期人口統計主要報告:第二冊。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 行政院主計處(2004)新加坡的統計制度。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 行政院主計處(2007)2010年人口及住宅普查構想與發展之研究。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 余清祥、胡玉蕙(1999)從美國經驗探討抽樣在普查之新角色,主計月刊522:60-66。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 沈益民(1983)近三十年世界人口普查和人口概況,北京:群眾。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 洪永泰(1996)戶籍登記常住人口與非常住人口之差異研究,國科會專題研究報告。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 洪永泰(2003)原始樣本、替代樣本、與追蹤樣本的比較:「2001年臺灣選舉與民主化調查研究」訪問失敗問題的探討,選舉研究10(2):37-58。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張善余(2003)中國人口地理,北京:科學。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張新儀、林明珠、洪永泰、林淑慧(2003),臺灣地區「常住人口」與「移動人口」的比較:2001年國民健康訪問調查資料的實證分析,調查研究14:5-29。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 許耿修(2003)台灣戶政制度研究,國立成功大學歷史學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳紹馨(1979)臺灣的人口變遷與社會變遷,台北:聯經。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳肇男、劉克智(2002)台灣2000 年戶口普查結果的評價:常住人口與戶籍登記口的比較分析,人口學刊25:1-56。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃于玲、周元暉(2005)荷蘭2001年虛擬普查簡介,中國統計通訊,16(4):2-8。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蔡宏進、廖正宏(1987) 人口學,台北:巨流。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Department of Statistics, Singapore(2002), “Singapore Census of Population 2000: Administrative Report”zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hogan, Howard(1993)“The 1990 Post-enumeration Survey: Operation and Results”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol.88, No.423, 1047-1060zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies (2008), “Data validation in the French Census”zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies(2004), “The French new rolling census”, UNECE Seminar on New Methods for Population Censuszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Statistics Netherlands(2004), “The Dutch Virtual Census of 2001: Analysis and Methodology”zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) UN Census Knowledge Base, http://unstats.un.org/unsd/censuskb/zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) UN(2007), “Population and Vital Statistics Report”zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) UN(2008), “Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses”zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) UNECE(2007),“Register-based statistics in the Nordic countries”zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) UNECE(2008), “Measuring population and housing :Practices of UNECE countries in the 2000 round of censuses”zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) U.S. Bureau of the Census(2006). “American Community Survey: Design and Methodology”zh_TW